RNG Integrity Studies
Statistical hypothesis testing on commercial RNG games.
โ RESEARCH2026
A series of empirical studies that collect thousands of rounds via browser automation and run rigorous statistical pipelines to determine whether commercial RNG games show any exploitable structure. Spoiler: they don't โ and proving it cleanly is the point.
Stack
PythonPlaywrightSciPystatsmodelsSQLiteMonte Carlo
Engineering highlights
- Sporty Hero crash game: 15-dimension analysis โ distribution fitting (5 models), independence (ACF, Ljung-Box), extreme-value (GEV/GPD), and volatility clustering (ARCH/GARCH).
- Confirmed a log-normal model via Kolmogorov-Smirnov (p=0.49), quantified the ~10.7% house edge, and proved zero exploitable edge via Kelly analysis.
- Virtual-soccer study: 51K matches via iframe-aware scraping, 13 statistical tests, calibration analysis pinning a 5.0% edge with <1pp pricing error.
- Reusable pattern: Playwright collector โ SQLite (WAL) โ analysis pipeline โ reproducible report.